EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Lokalne granie.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 100.0% | 53.3% | 60.0% | 51.5% | 1371 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Exia | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.6% | 55.0% | 51.0% | 1202 | — |
| 3 | Wind Diana | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.5% | 55.0% | 51.1% | 1227 | — |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.8% | 53.3% | 50.8% | 1268 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 48.0% | 53.3% | 49.1% | 1430 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Seiryuu | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.3% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1173 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 16.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.2% | 50.0% | 49.7% | 1274 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Polkhawk | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.8% | 46.7% | 49.5% | 1060 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.4% | 46.7% | 50.2% | 1166 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 47.5% | 40.0% | 48.8% | 1136 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 46.8% | 40.0% | 48.6% | 1096 | ↓ low |