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Fire Neos TonorisTier 2

at Grand Archive TCG - RDO Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe

decks
1 (7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.2% avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
44.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1226 · median 1226 · range 1226–1226 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1085 Q1 1181 Q3 1233 1289
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Luxem Mordred 14.3% 0
Water Fractal 14.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.5
Dawn of Ashes 7.1% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.1% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 7.1% 0
Slimes 7.1% 0
Water Astra Ranger 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.1% -3.1
Water Chess 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.0% -3.2
Water Genbu 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.1% -3.1
Wind Crux Lorraine 7.1% 0
Wind Razorgale 7.1% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Neos Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/49580/archetypes/Fire Neos Tonoris