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Luxem MordredTier 2

at Grand Archive TCG - RDO Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe

decks
2 (14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.8% avg ELO -2.7 per match
expected value
37.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1161 · median 1161 · range 1128–1193 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1085 Q1 1181 Q3 1233 1289
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 14.3% 0
Dawn of Ashes 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.3% -2.7
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.1% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 7.1% 0
Fire Neos Tonoris 7.1% 0
Slimes 7.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 47.2% -2.7
Water Astra Ranger 7.1% 0
Water Chess 7.1% 0
Water Genbu 7.1% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.3% -2.7
Wind Razorgale 7.1% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Luxem Mordred decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card-quantity differences observed in the mirrors — every mirror used an identical decklist.

JSON: /api/events/49580/archetypes/Luxem Mordred