← ArtofCards RDO Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at ArtofCards RDO Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 7.1% | 10 | 80.0% | 73.5% | 55.0% | 56.4% | 1457 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.6% | 2 | 50.0% | 54.7% | 55.0% | 55.7% | 1232 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Water Luxem Assassin | 2 | 7.1% | 10 | 55.0% | 44.4% | 54.4% | 51.6% | 1416 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 3.6% | 3 | 33.3% | 42.4% | 53.3% | 54.2% | 1227 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.6% | 6 | 66.7% | 55.1% | 52.7% | 51.6% | 1460 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 7.1% | 8 | 62.5% | 52.9% | 52.1% | 50.4% | 1374 | — |
| 7 | Fire Oblation | 4 | 14.3% | 15 | 56.7% | 49.0% | 50.6% | 49.1% | 1508 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.6% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.8% | 50.0% | 49.8% | 1266 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Astra Diana | 1 | 3.6% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.3% | 49.3% | 52.7% | 1198 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Razorgale | 3 | 10.7% | 12 | 41.7% | 46.4% | 48.9% | 49.7% | 1265 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 50.0% | 47.1% | 48.3% | 48.3% | 1403 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 59.6% | 48.0% | 53.7% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 56.4% | 47.5% | 51.9% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 7.1% | 8 | 50.0% | 56.0% | 46.9% | 49.1% | 1248 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Water Genbu | 2 | 7.1% | 8 | 25.0% | 28.7% | 46.7% | 45.0% | 1435 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Fire Arisanna | 1 | 3.6% | 6 | 50.0% | 42.7% | 46.7% | 45.6% | 1492 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Water Overlord | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 50.0% | 59.0% | 46.0% | 50.7% | 1208 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.6% | 5 | 40.0% | 39.3% | 46.0% | 44.8% | 1388 | — |
| 19 | Water Exia | 1 | 3.6% | 1 | 0.0% | 40.9% | 40.0% | 40.9% | 1320 | — |