ChessTier 2
at RDO Store Championship
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-4-1
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.6%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
46.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1133
· median 1133
· range 1105–1162
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1052
Q1 1183
Q3 1311
1449
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 11.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.6% | -9.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 74.0% | +23.1 |
| Water Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.1 |
| Wind Exia | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Chess decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
