Fire Crux MageTier 2
at RDO Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.4%
avg ELO -3.4 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1052
· median 1052
· range 1052–1052
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1052
Q1 1183
Q3 1311
1449
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chess | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
