Fire ArcaneTier 2
at RDO Store Championship
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.3%
avg ELO -12.6 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1144
· median 1144
· range 1144–1144
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1052
Q1 1183
Q3 1311
1449
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chess | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 11.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
