← GA Middle East Weekly RDO #1
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly RDO #1.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 100.0% | 51.9% | 60.0% | 51.2% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Alice | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.5% | 55.0% | 50.4% | 1313 | — |
| 3 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.3% | 52.5% | 50.1% | 1379 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 22.2% | 6 | 58.3% | 49.4% | 51.7% | 49.8% | 1424 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.8% | 47.5% | 50.3% | 1134 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Exia | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 46.7% | 49.9% | 1369 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Luxem Mordred | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.8% | 40.0% | 49.4% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.6% | 40.0% | 49.3% | 1170 | ↓ low |