Fire Crux MageTier 2
at 貓腳印雄二店 Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 12.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.2% | +5.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.6 |
| Water Genbu | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.0% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 37.3% | -8.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -12.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.8% | +23.6 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 43 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 43 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angel Attendant | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Angelic Channeling | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Protect Her At All Costs | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flared Iridescence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sword of Shadows | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gentle Respite | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lavastorm | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sacred Engulfment | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Flame Sweep | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sabela, Gossamer Penance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reckoning's Wake | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Facet the Forgotten | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rending Flames | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nimue, Cursed Touch | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |