Water AlliesTier 2
at 貓腳印雄二店 Store Championship
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
27.5%
avg ELO -16.8 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
38.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1352
· median 1352
· range 1352–1352
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1116
Q1 1202
Q3 1393
1523
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
