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Fire Arcane RaiTier 2
at RDO Store Champs - Card Merchant
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-2-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
26.5%
avg ELO -22.5 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
35.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1297
· median 1297
· range 1297–1297
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
921
Q1 1210
Q3 1413
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.0% | -25.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane Rai decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
