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Water Astra RangerTier 1
at RDO Store Champs - Card Merchant
decks
1
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.5%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1225
· median 1225
· range 1225–1225
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
921
Q1 1210
Q3 1413
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 14.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Arcane Rai | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
