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Wind SeiryuuTier 1

at KYD RDO Store Champion

decks
4 (8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
21 11-7-3
overall winrate
59.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.0% avg ELO +3.8 per match
expected value
48.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1405 · median 1419 · range 1240–1542 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1074 Q1 1236 Q3 1427 1618
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Razorgale 15.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 34.4% -15.0
Water Aetherwing 10.9% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 66.8% +12.6
Wind Shadowstrike 8.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.9% -16.1
Wind Crux Lorraine 6.5% 0
Fire Crux Mage 4.3% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 75.1% +18.7
Fire Suzaku 4.3% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 4.3% 4 0-3-1 12.5% 31.2% 43.8% -3.9
Fire Exia 2.2% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.2% 0
Fire Oblation 2.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.8% -14.7
Fire Slimes 2.2% 0
Fire Tera Cleric 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.3% +8.5
Fire Umbra Ciel 2.2% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 2.2% 0
Slimes 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.5% +5.6
Water Fractal 2.2% 0
Water Genbu 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.3% +11.7
Water Luxem Assassin 2.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.5% +0.8
Water Neos 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.6% +7.3
Water Suited 2.2% 0
Water Whirlpool Mill 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.3% +11.7
Wind Arcane 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.6% +16.9
Wind Astra Cleric 2.2% 0
Wind Exalted Alice 2.2% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 2.2% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +0.00 1 1 0
Aesan Protector +0.00 1 1 0
Royal Oathguard +0.00 1 1 0
Displace +0.00 1 1 0
Veiling Breeze +0.00 1 1 0
Enfeebling Orb +0.00 1 1 0
Noble Dissolution +0.00 1 1 0
Sasha, Purifying Acolyte +0.00 1 1 0
Fairy Whispers +0.00 1 1 0
Fatestone of Heaven +0.00 1 1 0
Scatter Essence +0.00 1 1 0
Regal Inquisition +0.00 1 1 0
Ducal Seal +0.00 1 1 0
Beseeched Fatestone +0.00 1 1 0
Longtail Grovesward +0.00 1 1 0
Candlelight Hourglass +0.00 1 1 0
Imperial Countermeasure +0.00 1 1 0
Scout the Land +0.00 1 1 0
Stifling Trap +0.00 1 1 0
Sunblessed Gazelle +0.00 1 1 0
Beseech the Winds +0.00 1 1 0
Windmill Engineer +0.00 1 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +0.00 1 1 0
Aella, Zephyr's Hand +0.00 1 1 0
Psychopomp's Gale +0.00 1 1 0
Tricastles of Lucenia +0.00 1 1 0
Stifling Gyre +0.00 1 1 0
Brisk Windtrotter +0.00 1 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +0.00 1 1 0
Zephyr +0.00 1 1 0
Dream Fairy +0.00 1 1 0
Uther, Illustrious King +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/51279/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu