Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at KYD RDO Store Champion
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 15.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.7% | -10.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.5 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.6% | -6.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.5 |
| Water Fractal | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.1 |
| Water Suited | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.9% | -7.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.8 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cry for Help | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Abnegation | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Devised Conspiracy | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aella, Zephyr's Hand | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Winbless Lookout | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Topsy Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Psychopomp's Gale | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Calming Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |