← ⛵ Flagship Games RDO Store Championship
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at ⛵ Flagship Games RDO Store Championship
decks
1
(2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-2-1
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.1%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1378
· median 1378
· range 1378–1378
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1073
Q1 1172
Q3 1379
1556
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -4.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Alice | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
