Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at 塔普卡 RDO賽季店冠賽
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-1-2
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.0%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
56.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1535
· median 1535
· range 1535–1535
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1228
Q3 1401
1535
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 48.4% | -1.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
