← 塔普卡 RDO賽季店冠賽

Wind SeiryuuTier 1

at 塔普卡 RDO賽季店冠賽

decks
2 (11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13 6-4-3
overall winrate
57.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.6% avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
52.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1330 · median 1330 · range 1244–1416 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
945 Q1 1228 Q3 1401 1535
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 11.1% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 66.2% +15.6
Wind Razorgale 11.1% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 11.1% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 32.3% -17.0
Fire Aetherwing 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.2% +3.5
Fire Arcane 5.6% 0
Fire Exia 5.6% 0
Fire Oblation 5.6% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 51.6% +1.5
Fire Suzaku 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.8
Fire Umbra Guardian 5.6% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 51.6% +1.5
Water Aetherwing 5.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.5% +2.4
Water Luxem Mordred 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.9% +4.6
Water Ravishing Mill 5.6% 0
Water Slimes 5.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.5% +18.4
Wind Luxem Assassin 5.6% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Royal Oathguard +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Forest Cake +1.00 1 0 0
Winds of Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Sasha, Purifying Acolyte +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Spellward Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Fatestone of Heaven -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Ducal Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Topsy Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Orb of Sealing +1.00 1 0 0
Beseeched Fatestone +1.00 1 0 0
Angelic Channeling -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Countermeasure +1.00 1 0 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Sunblessed Gazelle +1.00 1 0 0
Tempest Downfall -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 1 0 0
Harness Lightning -1.00 0 1 0
Windmill Engineer -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Gyre +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/51578/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu