Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at 貓腳印 淡水店 RDO 店家賽
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
9-4-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.0%
avg ELO +3.2 per match
expected value
55.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1396
· median 1396
· range 1311–1482
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1121
Q1 1262
Q3 1402
1539
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 11.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.0% | +17.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.4% | +2.5 |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.4 |
| Water Genbu | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Water Neos | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
