← Hobby Lords Radiant Origins Store Championship
Water Tera MageTier 2
at Hobby Lords Radiant Origins Store Championship
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-3-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.1%
avg ELO -4.0 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1207
· median 1207
· range 1207–1207
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1159
Q3 1297
1482
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.5 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
