Fire CrescendoTier 2
at Store Championships
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
29.0%
avg ELO -13.5 per match
expected value
41.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
37.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1257
· median 1257
· range 1257–1257
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1243
Q3 1489
1702
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 28.5% | -20.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crescendo decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
