Fire Crux MageTier 2
at RDO 卡庫店冠賽
decks
2
(8.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.2%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
48.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1268
· median 1268
· range 1192–1343
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1096
Q1 1215
Q3 1396
1523
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 12.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.4 |
| Water Fractal | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 8.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +2.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.2% | -9.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.3% | +7.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
