Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at RDO 卡庫店冠賽
decks
3
(12.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
3-9-1
overall winrate
26.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.9%
avg ELO -3.8 per match
expected value
44.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1263
· median 1215
· range 1184–1392
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1096
Q1 1215
Q3 1396
1523
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.4% | -17.9 |
| Water Fractal | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.2% | -9.5 |
| Water Genbu | 8.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 66.2% | +12.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.6 |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
