Card Merchant Ponsonby - RDO STore Champs

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	20.0%	3-3-0	50.0%	42.3%	50.0%	47.4%	1352	—
2		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-0-1	83.3%	61.9%	57.5%	56.8%	1412	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-0-1	83.3%	65.1%	57.5%	58.7%	1321	—
4		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	43.1%	46.7%	46.8%	1396	↑ top
5		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-3-0	0.0%	36.5%	40.0%	43.4%	1159	↓ low
6		Water Allies	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-0-1	83.3%	53.6%	56.7%	51.7%	1513	↑ top
7		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	48.6%	45.0%	48.6%	1204	↓ low
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-0-1	83.3%	63.9%	57.5%	57.2%	1315	—
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-3-0	0.0%	38.2%	40.0%	44.2%	1169	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 10.0%