← Card Merchant Ponsonby - RDO STore Champs
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Card Merchant Ponsonby - RDO STore Champs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 83.3% | 61.9% | 57.5% | 56.8% | 1412 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 83.3% | 65.1% | 57.5% | 58.7% | 1321 | — |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 83.3% | 63.9% | 57.5% | 57.2% | 1315 | — |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 83.3% | 53.6% | 56.7% | 51.7% | 1513 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 42.3% | 50.0% | 47.4% | 1352 | — |
| 6 | Fire Suited | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 43.1% | 46.7% | 46.8% | 1396 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.6% | 45.0% | 48.6% | 1204 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 36.5% | 40.0% | 43.4% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 38.2% | 40.0% | 44.2% | 1169 | ↓ low |