Card Merchant Christchurch RDO Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	5	11.1%	12-11-2	52.0%	50.4%	51.5%	50.4%	1262	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	5	11.1%	14-7-5	63.5%	52.0%	53.3%	50.4%	1362	↑ top
3		Chess	Tier 2	3	6.7%	4-8-3	36.7%	45.5%	44.6%	47.2%	1181	↓ low
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	4.4%	5-7-0	41.7%	42.0%	48.9%	48.9%	1236	—
5		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	2	4.4%	8-3-1	70.8%	56.4%	55.4%	54.3%	1367	↑ top
6		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	4.4%	7-4-1	62.5%	60.7%	49.6%	51.4%	1297	—
7		Slimes	Tier 2	2	4.4%	2-6-1	27.8%	49.8%	44.7%	50.0%	1127	↓ low
8		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	4.4%	4-4-2	50.0%	53.6%	50.7%	52.3%	1277	—
9		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	59.8%	47.5%	51.5%	1173	↓ low
10		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	46.7%	50.6%	49.7%	1316	—
11		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	2.2%	4-1-1	75.0%	63.1%	53.6%	54.2%	1354	↑ top
12		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-5-0	16.7%	35.1%	42.2%	44.1%	1154	↓ low
13		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	34.4%	52.5%	49.7%	1309	—
14		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-3-0	40.0%	49.9%	49.1%	51.5%	1168	↓ low
15		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.2%	4-2-0	66.7%	49.8%	52.0%	48.4%	1458	↑ top
16		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-3-0	0.0%	38.1%	40.0%	45.7%	1122	↓ low
17		Luxem Mordred	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.3%	49.2%	50.5%	1204	↓ low
18		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.2%	4-2-0	66.7%	49.0%	52.5%	49.2%	1408	↑ top
19		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-3-2	20.0%	34.7%	44.2%	44.9%	1147	↓ low
20		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-4-0	20.0%	34.3%	44.3%	44.5%	1146	↓ low
21		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-3-1	30.0%	51.2%	45.4%	51.6%	1145	↓ low
22		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-4-0	20.0%	35.0%	42.5%	43.3%	1163	↓ low
23		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.2%	5-1-0	83.3%	61.4%	50.9%	49.8%	1402	↑ top
24		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	67.1%	49.5%	56.1%	1093	↓ low
25		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-2-2	50.0%	52.0%	50.0%	50.3%	1229	—
26		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.1%	51.0%	51.9%	1405	↑ top
27		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-2-1	58.3%	46.3%	48.8%	46.4%	1404	↑ top
28		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.2%	4-2-0	66.7%	64.0%	55.0%	55.4%	1247	—
29		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-3-0	0.0%	21.7%	40.0%	37.4%	1232	—
30		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	2.2%	4-0-2	83.3%	68.2%	55.6%	56.5%	1381	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Slimes 5 decks · 11.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 11.1%
• Chess 3 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 4.4%
• Slimes 2 decks · 4.4%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.2%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 2.2%
• Luxem Mordred 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 2.2%