SlimesTier 1
at Aria's Birthday Tournament!
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 8 | 6-2-0 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 51.6% | +0.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.6% | +1.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Norm Crux Merlin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Wind Neos | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Ethereal Slime, Dungeon Guide, Covenant of Thorns. Losers more often ran: Blue Slime, Baby Blue Slime, Slime Nexus.
Show all 51 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereal Slime | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blue Slime | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Covenant of Thorns | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Slime Nexus | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Gaia's Blessing | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Idle Thoughts | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Smack with Flute | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bauble of Mending | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Gather Slimes | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Slime Totem | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 |