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Aria's Birthday Tournament!

2024-06-02 · season Mercurial Heart · Standard

20 decks · 47 matches loaded. View: EV ranking · head-to-head matrix

Element distribution
Fire 25% Water 10% Wind 35% Other 30%
Top archetypes
  1. Slimes 25.0%
  2. Wind Allies 25.0%
  3. Fire Arcane 10.0%
  4. Fire Aggro 5.0%
  5. Fire Crux Merlin 5.0%
Archetype Breakdown

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

# Archetype Tier Decks Share W-L-D Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1
Slimes Tier 1 5 13-4-2 73.7% 51.9% 60.4% 51.0% 1294 —
2
Wind Allies
Tier 2 5 6-14-0 30.0% 48.5% 42.0% 49.2% 1241 —
3
Fire Arcane
Tier 2 2 1-7-1 16.7% 48.0% 37.6% 48.9% 1150 ↓ low
4
Fire Aggro
Tier 1 1 4-0-2 83.3% 51.9% 55.7% 50.5% 1311 ↑ top
5
Fire Crux Merlin
Tier 1 1 3-1-1 70.0% 50.9% 63.9% 51.2% 1250 —
6
Fire Luxem Assassin
Tier 2 1 2-2-1 50.0% 49.9% 45.6% 49.5% 1361 ↑ top
7
Norm Crux Merlin Tier 2 1 0-2-0 0.0% 48.5% 40.0% 49.1% 1109 ↓ low
8
Water Allies
Tier 2 1 2-3-0 40.0% 49.5% 44.5% 49.5% 1247 —
9
Water Ravishing Mill
Tier 1 1 3-1-1 70.0% 51.1% 52.1% 50.2% 1445 ↑ top
10
Wind Neos
Tier 1 1 3-2-0 60.0% 50.6% 54.6% 50.4% 1239 —
11
Wind Shadowstrike
Tier 1 1 2-2-1 50.0% 49.4% 55.7% 50.3% 1339 ↑ top
12
Wind Slice & Dice
Tier 2 1 0-1-1 25.0% 49.4% 41.7% 49.4% 1251 —
Final Placements · 20 players

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

Placement Player Record Deck
1 KumaMushi 4-0-1 Slimes
2 APotato 4-1-0 Slimes
3 Lateralus 3-0-2 Fire Aggro
4 Tress 3-1-1 Slimes
5 Tobi 3-1-1 Water Ravishing Mill
6 Pit 3-1-1 Fire Crux Merlin
7 Kize 3-2-0 Wind Allies, Wind Neos
8 p4tchy 3-2-0 Slimes
9 Yushy 2-2-1 Fire Luxem Assassin
10 Byaku 2-2-1 Wind Shadowstrike
11 HugeJackedman 2-3-0 Wind Allies
12 Aqonomic 2-3-0 Wind Allies
13 Hironto 2-3-0 Slimes
14 Nilani 2-3-0 Water Allies
15 robflop 1-1-1 Fire Arcane
16 SirJonas 0-4-0 Wind Allies
17 Sydon 1-3-0 Wind Allies
18 SpectreArashi 0-2-0 Norm Crux Merlin
19 Hao 0-1-1 Wind Slice & Dice
20 Plompudu 0-5-0 Fire Arcane
Browse Decks · 12 archetypes

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.