← Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-3-1
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.4%
avg ELO +2.1 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1282
· median 1282
· range 1182–1381
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1207
Q3 1445
1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 15.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.0% | -3.8 |
| Wind Allies | 15.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -3.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.6 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
