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Wind AlliesTier 2

at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship

decks
3 (15.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15 6-7-2
overall winrate
46.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1% avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
49.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1289 · median 1303 · range 1141–1425 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1126 Q1 1207 Q3 1445 1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 21.1% 6 1-3-2 33.3% 40.0% 46.0% -2.1
Fire Aggro 15.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.0% +11.2
Fire Crux Mage 10.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.4% +11.9
Water Ravishing Mill 10.5% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 56.2% +4.6
Wind Shadowstrike 10.5% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.8% -12.6
Water Allies 5.3% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.8% -16.3
Wind Umbra Ranger 5.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.7% +12.3
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon -1.00 0 1 0
Banner Knight +1.00 1 0 0
Shimmercloak Assassin -1.00 0 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Lurking Assailant +1.00 1 0 0
Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa +1.00 1 0 0
Charged Mannequin -1.00 0 1 0
Attune with the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Eye of Argus -1.00 0 1 0
Tempest Downfall +1.00 1 0 0
Rallied Advance -1.00 0 1 0
Deflecting Edge +1.00 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs -1.00 0 1 0
Windmill Engineer +1.00 1 0 0
Inspiring Call +1.00 1 0 0
Manufacture Cell -1.00 0 1 0
Andronika, Eternal Herald -1.00 0 1 0
Second Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Trained Hawk -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Eternal Magistrate -1.00 0 1 0
Favorable Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Poisoned Coating Oil -1.00 0 1 0
Lorraine, Blademaster +1.00 1 0 0
Reprogram +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Swift Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Phalanx Captain +1.00 1 0 0
Drawn Blade +1.00 1 0 0
Flute of Taming +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Prototype Pistol +1.00 1 0 0
Windpiercer +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/5601/archetypes/Wind Allies