← Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-5-1
overall winrate
45.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
46.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1369
· median 1369
· range 1212–1526
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1207
Q3 1445
1607
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -0.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 15.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.3% | -10.3 |
| Wind Allies | 15.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.8% | -4.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
