SlimesTier 2

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

The 5 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

• FhtagnDazs 85 cards · placed #6
• TinyArcadeBunny 83 cards · placed #13
• Skittles 85 cards · placed #17
• SlimeKnight 85 cards · placed #21
• Wolfna 83 cards · placed #22

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Ordinary Bear, Hymn of Gaia's Grace, Gaia's Songbird. Losers more often ran: Baby Blue Slime, Slime King, Verdant Slime.

↑ Played more by winners

Ordinary Bear

Winning decks ran 3.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Hymn of Gaia's Grace

Winning decks ran 2.0 copies on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Gaia's Songbird

Winning decks ran 4.0 copies on average, losing decks 1.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Reprogram

Winning decks ran 3.3 copies on average, losing decks 1.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

↓ Played more by losers

Baby Blue Slime

Losing decks ran 2.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Slime King

Losing decks ran 3.0 copies on average, winning decks 2.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Verdant Slime

Losing decks ran 2.7 copies on average, winning decks 1.3.

Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.