← Grand Archive Store Championships at High Market Online <3

Fire Crux HybridTier 1

at Grand Archive Store Championships at High Market Online <3

decks
5 (21.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17 10-5-2
overall winrate
64.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.0% avg ELO +4.0 per match
expected value
56.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1442 · median 1449 · range 1219–1642 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1208 Q1 1345 Q3 1448 1642
60% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 13.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 63.2% +12.7
Wind Allies 13.0% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 55.3% +3.9
Fire Crux Mage 8.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.7% +13.9
Water Ravishing Mill 8.7% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 43.4% -6.3
Wind Shadowstrike 8.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 64.0% +13.5
Fire Slimes 4.3% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 47.7% -2.3
Slimes 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.2% -10.9
Wind Arisanna 4.3% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 4.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 63.0% +12.5
Wind Overlord 4.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 45.9% -3.9
Wind Slimes 4.3% 0
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 2 0 0
Reduce to Ash -0.50 0 1 1
Viridian Protective Trinket -0.50 0 1 0
Under Fire +0.50 1 0 1
Incarnate Majesty +0.50 1 0 1
Tether in Flames -0.50 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -0.50 0 1 0
Disintegrate +0.50 1 0 1
Spark Alight -0.50 0 1 0
Incapacitate +0.50 1 0 1
Scatter Essence -0.50 0 1 1
Chilling Touch -0.50 0 1 0
Primordial Ritual +0.50 1 0 0
Scry the Skies +0.50 1 0 0
Peaceful Reunion +0.00 1 1 0
Honorable Vanguard +0.00 1 1 0
Devastating Blow +0.00 1 1 0
Vanish from Sight +0.00 1 1 0
Crux Sight +0.00 1 1 0
Potion Infusion: Seal +0.00 1 1 0
Reprogram +0.00 1 1 0
Library Witch +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/5655/archetypes/Fire Crux Hybrid