← Grand Archive Store Championships at High Market Online <3
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Grand Archive Store Championships at High Market Online <3
decks
2
(8.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-4-2
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.6%
avg ELO -3.1 per match
expected value
43.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1319
· median 1319
· range 1208–1429
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1208
Q1 1345
Q3 1448
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 21.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.3% | -9.3 |
| Wind Allies | 13.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 4.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.0% | +6.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
