HeldenTaverne Jena Store Championship Mercurial Heart

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	25.0%	6-0-0	100.0%	69.8%	63.3%	58.9%	1501	↑ top
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	45.0%	45.0%	46.9%	1268	—
3		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	42.0%	45.0%	44.9%	1244	—
4		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	12.5%	2-2-0	50.0%	55.0%	46.7%	50.0%	1302	—
5		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	12.5%	2-2-0	50.0%	54.0%	46.7%	49.5%	1157	↓ low
6		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	34.4%	40.0%	40.7%	1195	↓ low
7		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	35.6%	40.0%	41.4%	1109	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Erupting 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 12.5%