← HeldenTaverne Jena Store Championship Mercurial Heart
Fire SlimesTier 2
at HeldenTaverne Jena Store Championship Mercurial Heart
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.0%
avg ELO +3.2 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1302
· median 1302
· range 1302–1302
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1109
Q1 1185
Q3 1350
1510
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.8% | -9.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Fire Erupting | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
