← The Card Shop PLT MRC Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Card Shop PLT MRC Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.0% | 8 | 93.8% | 76.6% | 62.2% | 61.4% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.0% | 8 | 68.8% | 59.4% | 57.0% | 55.7% | 1391 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Slimes | 5 | 20.0% | 24 | 60.4% | 61.9% | 56.2% | 57.3% | 1314 | — |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 8.0% | 10 | 50.0% | 42.3% | 50.0% | 45.2% | 1499 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 8.0% | 12 | 54.2% | 51.2% | 49.9% | 49.8% | 1270 | — |
| 6 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 46.1% | 48.3% | 50.1% | 1354 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Allies | 5 | 20.0% | 23 | 43.5% | 34.6% | 46.8% | 41.6% | 1272 | — |
| 8 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 4.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 47.2% | 45.6% | 50.5% | 1221 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 5 | 20.0% | 17 | 38.2% | 48.6% | 45.4% | 50.2% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 39.3% | 41.7% | 42.4% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Lorraine | 1 | 4.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 40.2% | 40.7% | 45.2% | 1122 | ↓ low |