← Mercurial Heart Store Championship

SlimesTier 1

at Mercurial Heart Store Championship

decks
3 (37.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 4-3-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.9% avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
51.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1245 · median 1245 · range 1219–1271 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1067 Q1 1172 Q3 1267 1405
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 37.5% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.3% +0.9
Fire Aggro 12.5% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 12.5% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 59.4% +7.0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Horn of Beastcalling -1.00 0 1 0
Vampiric Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Ordinary Bear +1.00 1 0 0
Blissful Calling +1.00 1 0 0
Engineered Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Slime King -1.00 0 1 0
Green Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Beastbond Boots +1.00 1 0 0
Slime Totem -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Baby Blue Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Bestial Frenzy +1.00 1 0 0
Tera Sight +1.00 1 0 0
Reprogram +1.00 1 0 0
Slime Eruption -1.00 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Verdant Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Verdant Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 1 0
Twilight Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Crimson Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Academy Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Beastbond Ears +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/5738/archetypes/Slimes