Mercurial Heart Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 1	3	37.5%	4-3-0	57.1%	56.9%	51.8%	53.3%	1245	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 2	3	37.5%	3-4-0	42.9%	44.5%	48.7%	47.8%	1262	↑ top
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-1-0	0.0%	40.9%	40.0%	40.9%	1262	↑ top
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	53.3%	54.8%	53.2%	1405	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 3 decks · 37.5%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 37.5%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 12.5%