← ⚙ Grand Archive - Mercurial Heart Store Championship ⚙
Wind AlliesTier 2
at ⚙ Grand Archive - Mercurial Heart Store Championship ⚙
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.2%
avg ELO -9.5 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1148
· median 1148
· range 1148–1148
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1148
Q1 1202
Q3 1314
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Wind Slimes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
