← ⚙ Grand Archive - Mercurial Heart Store Championship ⚙
Wind DianaTier 1
at ⚙ Grand Archive - Mercurial Heart Store Championship ⚙
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.2%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
50.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1354
· median 1354
· range 1354–1354
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1148
Q1 1202
Q3 1314
1535
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.1% | -9.5 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
