Regionals MRC

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 2	5	19.2%	5-10-2	35.3%	40.4%	43.5%	44.9%	1205	↓ low
2		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	4	15.4%	8-9-2	47.4%	44.8%	52.3%	50.1%	1196	↓ low
3		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	2	7.7%	1-3-0	25.0%	36.9%	52.5%	53.4%	1230	—
4		Wind Allies	Tier 1	2	7.7%	5-4-1	55.0%	56.3%	56.9%	56.3%	1294	—
5		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	51.9%	52.5%	54.8%	1162	↓ low
6		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	51.6%	48.0%	50.3%	1404	↑ top
7		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.8%	4-0-1	90.0%	58.8%	58.9%	54.1%	1599	↑ top
8		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-2-0	60.0%	62.6%	47.3%	50.9%	1405	↑ top
9		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-2-0	60.0%	50.7%	55.6%	54.1%	1354	↑ top
10		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-2-1	50.0%	53.1%	53.1%	55.5%	1229	—
11		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-1-1	70.0%	55.1%	59.6%	55.4%	1281	—
12		Water Astra Arisanna	Tier 2	1	3.8%	0-3-1	12.5%	31.2%	36.7%	37.4%	1130	↓ low
13		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-2-1	50.0%	44.6%	49.2%	46.5%	1172	↓ low
14		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	41.8%	48.3%	47.6%	1402	↑ top
15		Wind Overlord	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-3-0	40.0%	56.7%	42.8%	49.3%	1051	↓ low
16		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-1-1	70.0%	60.1%	60.3%	58.2%	1317	↑ top
17		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	3.8%	4-0-1	90.0%	67.2%	58.9%	57.3%	1458	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 5 decks · 19.2%
• Fire Slimes 4 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 7.7%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Astra Cleric 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Erupting 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.8%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 3.8%
• Water Astra Arisanna 1 deck · 3.8%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 3.8%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.8%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 3.8%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 3.8%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 3.8%