← Kayfabe - Store Championship - MRC
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Kayfabe - Store Championship - MRC.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 2 | 18.2% | 7 | 100.0% | 69.3% | 65.6% | 59.3% | 1620 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 66.7% | 57.6% | 54.3% | 53.2% | 1435 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 37.5% | 42.7% | 47.5% | 48.0% | 1252 | — |
| 4 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.7% | 46.7% | 47.6% | 1220 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 50.0% | 52.5% | 45.7% | 47.9% | 1305 | — |
| 6 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 43.9% | 45.0% | 46.0% | 1328 | — |
| 7 | Water Allies | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 47.7% | 43.3% | 48.1% | 1004 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 31.1% | 35.6% | 37.7% | 1104 | ↓ low |