← Forest City Coins Store Champs
Water Crux LorraineTier 1
at Forest City Coins Store Champs
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.4%
avg ELO +5.4 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1333
· median 1333
· range 1333–1333
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1033
Q1 1162
Q3 1359
1576
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 23.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Allies | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
