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Wind AlliesTier 2

at Forest City Coins Store Champs

decks
2 (15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
33.4% avg ELO -9.6 per match
expected value
40.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1256 · median 1256 · range 1033–1480 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033 Q1 1162 Q3 1359 1576
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 23.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.8% -14.6
Fire Aggro 15.4% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 43.5% -6.2
Fire Arcane 7.7% 0
Norm Tera Silvie 7.7% 0
Slimes 7.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.3% -9.1
Water Crux Lorraine 7.7% 0
Water Neos 7.7% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 7.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.8% -11.6
Wind Dawn of Ashes 7.7% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion +1.00 1 0 0
Esteemed Knight +1.00 1 0 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 1 0 0
Tithe Proclamation -1.00 0 1 0
Banner Knight -1.00 0 1 0
Shimmercloak Assassin -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 1 0 0
Vigilant Sentry +1.00 1 0 0
Woodland Squirrels -1.00 0 1 0
Eye of Argus -1.00 0 1 0
Tempest Downfall +1.00 1 0 0
Rallied Advance -1.00 0 1 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Deflecting Edge -1.00 0 1 0
Smoke Bombs -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Windmill Engineer +1.00 1 0 0
Hurricane Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Inspiring Call -1.00 0 1 0
Imperial Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Poisoned Coating Oil -1.00 0 1 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Phalanx Captain -1.00 0 1 0
Drawn Blade -1.00 0 1 0
Clarent, Sword of Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Prototype Pistol +1.00 1 0 0
Windpiercer +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/6571/archetypes/Wind Allies