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Wind Dawn of AshesTier 2
at Forest City Coins Store Champs
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
31.3%
avg ELO -14.0 per match
expected value
42.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1162
· median 1162
· range 1162–1162
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1033
Q1 1162
Q3 1359
1576
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 23.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Water Neos | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -8.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Dawn of Ashes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
