Dueling Land Mercurial Heart Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 1	2	25.0%	6-0-0	100.0%	79.9%	64.0%	64.0%	1229	—
2		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	2	25.0%	2-3-0	40.0%	45.5%	45.3%	45.7%	1252	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-0	50.0%	46.2%	50.0%	47.7%	1251	↑ top
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-1	16.7%	37.0%	38.9%	39.7%	1126	↓ low
5		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-1-1	25.0%	39.4%	43.3%	41.8%	1317	↑ top
6		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	36.5%	40.0%	41.9%	1168	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 2 decks · 25.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 12.5%