← Dueling Land Mercurial Heart Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Dueling Land Mercurial Heart Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 100.0% | 79.9% | 64.0% | 64.0% | 1229 | — |
| 2 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 46.2% | 50.0% | 47.7% | 1251 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 25.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 45.5% | 45.3% | 45.7% | 1252 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 25.0% | 39.4% | 43.3% | 41.8% | 1317 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 36.5% | 40.0% | 41.9% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 37.0% | 38.9% | 39.7% | 1126 | ↓ low |