← LUCKY VAULT STORE CHAMPS! 7/13/24
Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at LUCKY VAULT STORE CHAMPS! 7/13/24
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-1-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.2%
avg ELO -2.7 per match
expected value
41.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1393
· median 1393
· range 1393–1393
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1052
Q1 1183
Q3 1403
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
