← Card Caster Store Championship Mercurial Heart
SlimesTier 2
at Card Caster Store Championship Mercurial Heart
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.2%
avg ELO -8.0 per match
expected value
41.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1170
· median 1170
· range 1167–1172
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1163
Q3 1292
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.7% | -14.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
