Card Caster Store Championship Mercurial Heart

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 2	2	25.0%	1-4-0	20.0%	36.2%	41.3%	42.6%	1170	↓ low
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	25.0%	4-0-0	100.0%	68.2%	63.3%	60.3%	1401	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	56.6%	52.0%	52.2%	1262	—
4		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	36.3%	40.0%	41.8%	1083	↓ low
5		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-1-0	0.0%	40.2%	40.0%	40.2%	1153	↓ low
6		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	59.0%	52.0%	53.3%	1262	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 2 decks · 25.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 12.5%